J. Malucelli vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 0
JMA
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
ATP
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
JMA
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 2
JMA
35%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
JMA
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CCR
2 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
16%
22%
61%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PRU
1 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
CCR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |