Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
J. Malucelli vs PSTC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PST
0 - 3
JMA
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LON
4 - 0
JMA
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 3
JMA
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSTC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PST
0 - 3
JMA
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PST
0 - 0
PAR
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PST
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
4 - 0
PST
83%
12%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PST
2 - 2
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |