J. Malucelli vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
0 - 0
CIA
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
OPE
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 3
CIA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |