J. Malucelli vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
3 - 3
JMA
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
IRA
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
OPE
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 2
CIA
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
OPE
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 3
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |