Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-3
J. Malucelli vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JMA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
JMA
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
JMA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JMA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 2
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JEC
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |