J. Malucelli vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 3
JMA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 3
PST
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PST
0 - 3
JMA
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LON
4 - 0
JMA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 0
BRU
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
VOL
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
MAD
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 3
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAD
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |