J. Malucelli vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JMA
0 - 2
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 2
JMA
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ATP
0 - 0
JMA
75%
18%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JMA
1 - 0
OPE
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JMA
1 - 0
FOZ
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 1
SAN
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PRU
0 - 0
LON
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LON
2 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |