Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
J. Malucelli vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
JMA
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 3
ATP
14%
21%
64%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
2 - 1
JMA
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CIA
2 - 2
LON
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 2
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |