Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-0
J. Malucelli vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCR
3 - 1
JMA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
JMA
0 - 0
PAR
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 0
JMA
76%
16%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
JMA
3 - 2
NPR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JMA
1 - 0
RIO
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VER
1 - 0
JUV
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SCI
5 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |