J. Malucelli vs Iraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
1 - 0
JMA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
COT
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
JMA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 5
COT
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
CIA
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 5
TCW
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |