J. Malucelli vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 0
JMA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
JMA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
JMA
0 - 0
TCW
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 0
JMA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 1
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
CIA
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |