J. Malucelli vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PRU
0 - 3
JMA
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JMA
2 - 0
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 2
NOV
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JMA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
JMA
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATP
8%
17%
76%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
NPR
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |