J. Malucelli vs Cascavel CR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
COT
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 0
JMA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
JMA
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cascavel CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CCR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
2 - 0
ATP
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 3
IRA
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CCR
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |