J. Malucelli vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LAJ
4 - 4
JMA
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 0
TCW
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LON
3 - 0
JMA
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 1
ATP
16%
23%
62%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
6 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
XVD
4 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |