J. Malucelli vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRU
2 - 1
JMA
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 1
TCW
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
JMA
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
ATP
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
ARA
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 2
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CIA
2 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
67%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 0
STR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |