J. Malucelli vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 2
JMA
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 1
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
JMA
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
JMA
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 3
COT
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 2
ACP
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 2
IRA
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |