Iztapa vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IZT
4 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 2
IZT
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
IZT
0 - 0
PUE
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 1
HUE
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
HER
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
NUE
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |