Izarra vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 1
IZA
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 2
AUR
25%
29%
46%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
GIM
3 - 0
IZA
74%
18%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 2
ZAR
25%
28%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
28%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
RUN
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
UBC
1 - 0
GER
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
BEA
37%
30%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
BUR
4 - 1
GER
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GER
1 - 0
BIN
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |