Izarra vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BIN
2 - 1
IZA
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 0
HAR
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ALF
2 - 0
IZA
26%
31%
43%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
IZA
1 - 0
TUD
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
IZA
5 - 0
OBE
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
4 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 1
SEV
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
SEV
0 - 3
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
GET
1 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |