Izarra vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
IZA
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
IZA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IZA
0 - 0
RAC
12%
24%
63%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 1
IZA
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
IZA
0 - 1
MIR
11%
23%
66%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ATH
4 - 1
PEÑ
81%
14%
6%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATH
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 1
SPB
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
ATH
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 0
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |