Ivry vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+230%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
13º
10º
15
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 3
IVR
83%
13%
4%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
IVR
0 - 0
ASP
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YZE
2 - 0
IVR
38%
25%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 2
IVR
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 0
STG
12%
23%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +7 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
STG
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSL
0 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SML
13%
23%
65%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 0
MON
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |