Ivry vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
IVR
25%
26%
50%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
IVR
3 - 3
AIL
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 3
IVR
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
AUL
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FEI
0 - 1
IVR
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIL
0 - 0
SML
15%
19%
67%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SML
2 - 2
AUL
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
3 - 3
SML
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SML
1 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
SML
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |