Ivry vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
8º
41
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
IVR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
MFC
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
IVR
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 1
ESA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 1
DRA
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 2
VTR
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 1
LUL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |