Itzehoe vs VFR Horst 1946 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 2
ITZ
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 0
ITZ
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
2 - 1
HUS
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
4 - 2
NTS
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
1 - 2
VFR
18%
22%
59%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 3
HUL
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 2
EIB
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
HUS
0 - 1
VFR
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 1
VFR
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |