Itzehoe vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ITZ
3 - 1
VFR
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 2
ITZ
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 0
ITZ
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
2 - 1
HUS
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
4 - 2
NTS
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
4 - 2
KIL
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KIL
2 - 3
KRO
18%
22%
60%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 2
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FLE
3 - 1
KIL
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 1
ECK
32%
25%
43%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |