Itzehoe vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 1
ITZ
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 2
KRO
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
COK
3 - 0
ITZ
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ITZ
0 - 1
ECK
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KIL
2 - 1
ITZ
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 0
HEI
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 0
HEI
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
HEI
0 - 0
EIB
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
HOL
2 - 2
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HEI
4 - 1
HEI
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -3 |