Itzehoe vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
ITZ
1 - 2
HOL
10%
16%
74%
|
5 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
EIC
9 - 1
ITZ
84%
11%
5%
|
5 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
7 - 0
ITZ
82%
13%
5%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
WEI
6 - 0
ITZ
82%
13%
5%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ITZ
0 - 3
VFR
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ECK
0 - 6
FLE
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FLE
0 - 4
COK
70%
17%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FLE
1 - 2
HOL
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
HEI
2 - 1
FLE
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |