Ituzaingó vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
ITU
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITU
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 0
LUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
ARM
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
SMA
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 2
SMA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
CCO
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |