Ituzaingó vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
SMG
4 - 2
ITU
57%
25%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
ITU
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
ITU
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ITU
3 - 0
CES
46%
27%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
SMA
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
CES
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
SMA
24%
24%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 1
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |