Ituzaingó vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 0
DPA
64%
22%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LAM
0 - 1
ITU
23%
29%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
CLA
69%
21%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CES
0 - 2
ITU
14%
26%
61%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 0
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 0
PUE
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
YUP
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |