Ituzaingó vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITU
30%
28%
42%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 0
LUJ
46%
27%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
CAA
36%
29%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 1
ITU
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
ARM
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
BER
33%
26%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
CCO
34%
28%
39%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |