Ituzaingó vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 0
ITU
48%
28%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 0
ITA
57%
24%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 1
SBA
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
CCO
3 - 0
ITU
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
CAD
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
CCO
29%
29%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
MID
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
ARQ
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |