Ituzaingó vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 2
ITU
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
ITA
51%
25%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ITU
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 0
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 0
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
CCO
56%
23%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
0 - 1
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |