Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 2
ITU
51%
27%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
CAD
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
ITU
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
UAI
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
DOC
1 - 4
ITU
37%
29%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
AND
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 2
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
CAÑ
30%
28%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
JJU
1 - 2
MER
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
ARQ
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |