Ituzaingó vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITU
58%
25%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
ARM
40%
28%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 1
ITU
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
2 - 3
ITA
33%
30%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 1
LAM
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
TAL
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 0
BER
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
BER
0 - 1
CAD
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
SAC
33%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |