Ituzaingó vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
YUP
0 - 1
ITU
30%
28%
42%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CBA
2 - 1
ITU
33%
29%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -4 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 2
MUÑ
66%
23%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CAA
0 - 1
ITU
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
JUU
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 2
ALE
46%
26%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
ARR
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
YUP
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DPA
2 - 1
ARR
40%
28%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CBA
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |