Itumbiara vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
ITU
31%
24%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 2
GOI
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
ITU
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 2
ITU
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ANA
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIO
64%
19%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |