Itumbiara vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
ITU
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
RIO
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 1
ITU
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 3
GAM
14%
21%
64%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 2
ITU
15%
24%
61%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +5 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
ANA
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |