Itumbiara vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
APA
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 1
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
VOL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
4%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |