Itumbiara vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 3
ITU
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 1
JAT
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 2
ITU
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
NER
1 - 0
ITU
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
GOI
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |