Itumbiara vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 2
ITU
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
ITU
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 8
ITU
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 2
ITU
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
6 - 2
CRA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 2
GOI
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
TRI
64%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |