Itumbiara vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JAT
1 - 1
ITU
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 4
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 2
ANA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 0
ITU
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 0
APA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
NOR
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 3
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
MOG
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |