Itumbiara vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
GOI
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ITU
3 - 1
IPO
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CNO
2 - 0
ITU
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
RIO
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
CNO
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CNO
2 - 3
CRA
39%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 3
CNO
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CNO
2 - 0
ITU
29%
24%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IPO
0 - 0
CNO
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |