Itumbiara vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 1
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 4
IPO
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
APA
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IPO
1 - 1
APA
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |