Itumbiara vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 0
ITU
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
ITU
72%
20%
8%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 1
ITU
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
GOI
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
2 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
AAC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
APA
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |