Ituano vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
ITU
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
ITU
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ITU
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 1
ITU
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
5 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
XVD
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
XVD
3 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
XVD
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |