Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Ituano vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 3
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
ITU
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
ITU
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
5 - 1
AUD
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |