Ituano vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 4
GRÊ
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SER
2 - 3
SAN
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 3
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
COR
4 - 0
SER
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SER
2 - 2
SAO
3%
14%
83%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +1 |