Ituano vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
ITU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
RBB
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
5 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
LIN
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |