Ituano vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
COR
18%
28%
53%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
CAP
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
XVD
1 - 2
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ITU
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
MOG
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
RIO
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |